My Uncle Joe lost a fortune in the market, they point out. While the market occasionally dives and may even perform poorly for extended periods of time, the history of the markets tells a different e. The stock market has gone virtually nowhere for 10 years, they complain. Remember that the market goes up more than it goes down. Even poor market timers make money if they buy good comp Of course, severe drops can happen in times of low interest rates as well. Look for red flags in the financial news, such as the beginning of the recent housing slump or the international credit crisis.
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Compare historical P/E ratios with current ratios to get some idea of what's excessive, but keep in mind that the market will support higher P/E ratios when interest rates ar s. But when stock prices get too far ahead of earnings, there's usually a drop in store.